Possible scenario
Political Fight Intensifies
20% Chance
The probe becomes part of the larger fight over Biden's January 2025 pardons and Trump's calls to investigate pardoned figures. The regulatory question remains important, but congressional hearings and partisan messaging dominate the next phase.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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