Government Enters Paralysis

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.5%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Iran-aligned parties do not immediately topple Sudani but paralyze cabinet work, budget approvals, and security decisions. The state remains formally intact, yet command over police, army, and PMF-linked units becomes contested.

What it moves

Energy+0.6%
Consumer Services−0.4%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Government Enters Paralysis

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