Possible scenario
Appeals Court Narrows Block
28% Chance
A plausible alternative is that the 11th Circuit agrees the district judge’s order was too broad. DOJ obtains some access to Georgia voter data, but the court imposes privacy safeguards and avoids endorsing a nationwide federal voter-roll sweep.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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