Possible scenario
Review Granted, Affirmed
12% Chance
The Court may grant certiorari to clarify the limits of executive privilege and congressional subpoena enforcement, then affirm the conviction. This would strengthen the legal footing of contempt referrals when former executive-branch officials refuse to comply with congressional subpoenas.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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