Possible scenario
Limited Remand
16% Chance
The Court could avoid full merits review while still asking the lower courts to reconsider a narrow issue. This would be more likely if the petition identifies a procedural conflict, a new precedent, or a potentially unsettled mens rea question in contempt-of-Congress prosecutions.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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