Possible scenario
Fires Quickly Contained
42% Chance
Fire crews gain control of the active brush fires during the Santa Ana wind window, and most public-safety power shutoffs are reversed within 24 to 48 hours. The market reaction is limited because shutoffs were pre-announced and no major utility equipment fault is identified.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities +0.3%
Tickers
- EIX+1.4%
- PCG+1.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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