Possible scenario
Policy Cushion Emerges
25% Chance
Weak approvals increase pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia and federal and state governments to avoid a deeper supply shortfall. Markets start to price some policy support or rate relief, limiting the downside for housing-linked equities.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.6%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.6%
- Industrials +0.3%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.2%
Tickers
- JHX+0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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