Possible scenario
Narrow Oversight Deal
20% Chance
Democrats win the House but choose a narrower oversight path to avoid disrupting defense and space programs that rely on SpaceX. The resulting inquiry emphasizes documents, ethics rules, and procurement safeguards rather than punitive action.
Tickers
- SPCX-1.4%
- TSLA-0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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