Contained Disruptions Normalize

The most likely operational outcome is a series of disruptive but contained AI-assisted attacks rather than a single national emergency. Attackers use automated reconnaissance, phishing and vulnerability chaining against food logistics, refrigeration, telecoms and managed-service providers, but continuity plans keep outages localized.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.