Possible scenario
Hyde-Smith Comeback
−0.1%
A late shift in affidavit-ballot rulings or disqualifications changes the arithmetic enough for Cindy Hyde-Smith to retake the lead. This is less likely because Colom’s lead has grown for two straight days, but the preservation demand shows Republicans still see a path through challenged ballots.
What it moves
- Energy+0.1%
- Finance+0.1%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.