Possible scenario
White House Prevails
18% Chance
A less likely but still realistic outcome is that the court accepts the administration's argument that White House access is discretionary and distinguishable from prior credential cases. This would embolden tighter control of the press pool and likely trigger immediate appeals.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.7%
Tickers
- CMCSA-0.4%
- NYT-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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