Possible scenario
Prolonged Litigation
25% Chance
The court may avoid an immediate sweeping ruling and allow the dispute to develop through emergency motions, appeals and factual disputes over White House procedures. This outcome is plausible because the AP case remains part of the legal backdrop and the administration is likely to contest any order limiting its control of access.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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