Possible scenario
Dembo Holds Lead
45% Chance
Zach Dembo's 46-40 lead proves durable enough to keep Kentucky's 6th District highly competitive through Election Day. The result would suggest Ralph Alvarado has not consolidated Republican voters in a district that should normally favor the GOP.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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