Possible scenario
Morocco Bargains Quietly
20% Chance
Morocco uses cooperation on deportations as leverage for further Spanish and EU support on border management, development funding, and diplomatic recognition of its Western Sahara position. Spain maintains the returns process but pairs it with new bilateral concessions.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.2%
- Consumer Services -0.1%
- Industrials +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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