Contained U.S. Pressure
0.0%
Washington treats the guide as part of a broader pressure campaign rather than an immediate regime-change trigger. The CIA, State Department, and Treasury maintain deniable outreach, public messaging, and selective sanctions while avoiding steps that would force a major Cuban retaliation.
What it moves
- Consumer Services−0.1%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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