Possible scenario
Rapid Containment
38% Chance
Regulators and brokerages isolate the compromised GMO Internet cloud environment and prevent further unauthorized trading. Losses are material for affected firms but remain operationally manageable, keeping the event closer to a financial-sector cyber incident than a systemic market crisis.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.