Scenario description
Assume Pakistan-Afghanistan cross-border hostilities remain operationally active during the observation window, with at least one new reported Pakistani strike inside Afghanistan or sustained/recurrent armed clashes along the Durand Line involving Pakistani and Afghan Taliban forces after the latest reported escalation. The geography is the Pakistan-Afghanistan border region and any Afghan provinces reportedly targeted from Pakistan. Exact strike counts, force sizes, munitions, casualty totals, border-closure durations, trade volumes, and insurance-cost changes are unavailable from the supplied MarketBrief summary and should not be inferred.