Possible scenario
Cooper Lead Holds
52% Chance
Roy Cooper's name recognition, two-term gubernatorial record, and early polling advantage carry through most of the fall campaign. Michael Whatley remains competitive with Republican base voters, but the burden of closing a 12-point gap in a purple state proves difficult.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare +0.3%
- Energy -0.2%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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