Possible scenario
Tax Is Removed
20% Chance
The narrow vote leaves room for the measure to be removed by the Senate, a joint committee, or the government before the budget is finalized. Industry arguments about competitiveness, MiCA consistency, and retail tax complexity could persuade enough lawmakers to reverse course.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.2%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- CRCL+2.7%
- +2.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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