Possible scenario
Severe Panhandle Damage
30% Chance
A more damaging path keeps Isaias strong at landfall and produces a broader swath of hurricane-force gusts from Pensacola to Panama City. This would create heavier utility restoration costs, larger insured losses, and a sharper near-term hit to tourism along the Emerald Coast.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -1.2%
- Consumer Services -1.1%
- Finance -0.6%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.4%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.2%
- Industrials
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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