Damage Stays Contained

The most likely outcome is that Isaias weakens quickly after landfall, with damaging but geographically contained wind impacts along the Florida Panhandle and coastal Alabama. Emergency managers still face outages, debris removal, and short-term tourism disruption, but markets treat the event as a regional weather loss rather than a national macro shock.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.