Possible scenario

Power bottleneck persists

25%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.4%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Nvidia and Vertiv reduce setup time inside the data center, but grid interconnection, transformers, gas turbines and permitting remain the limiting factors. Investors conclude that faster deployment increases demand for power infrastructure without fully solving the largest constraint on AI capacity growth.

What it moves

Industrials+1.2%
Utilities+0.8%
Technology+0.5%
Energy+0.2%

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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