Possible scenario
Administrative Containment
35% Chance
The most likely path is an internal DOJ and FBI effort to contain the damage through reviews, revised guidance, and limited discipline. This fits the recent pattern of surveillance controversies producing procedural fixes rather than immediate criminal exposure for officials.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.1%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- LHX-0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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