Damage Proves Manageable
+0.1%
The third strike causes visible damage but does not materially worsen the outage beyond what markets had already priced after earlier attacks. Russia uses spare capacity, stockpiles, and accelerated repairs to stabilize domestic fuel supply.
What it moves
- Energy−0.3%
- Market volatility
- Oil prices
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.