Possible scenario
Digestion Not Collapse
30% Chance
The market treats Griffin's comment as a warning about excess enthusiasm rather than proof of a bust. GPU pricing softens at the margin, but enterprise AI, inference workloads and hyperscaler spending keep the cycle intact.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.7%
- Industrials +0.3%
- Utilities -0.1%
- Business Services +0.1%
Tickers
- CRWV-1.0%
- AVGO+0.9%
- +0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.