Possible scenario
AI Credit Reprices
20% Chance
Investors focus less on GPU resale prices alone and more on the debt-funded data-center model built around high utilization and stable collateral values. The impact remains well below a systemic credit event but weighs on lenders, private-credit managers and power-demand beneficiaries.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- Copper Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.0%
- Finance -0.7%
- Utilities -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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