Possible scenario
Sentence Enforcement Holds
45% Chance
The most likely path is that Malaysian courts keep the 15-year sentence intact while limiting Najib Razak to administrative or narrowly procedural challenges. Because he has already been granted house arrest, the key dispute shifts from whether the sentence exists to how it is served and supervised.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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