Possible scenario
Coalition Fallout Contained
20% Chance
The ruling coalition absorbs the legal setback without a parliamentary rupture. Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim's government has incentives to preserve UMNO support while avoiding overt interference in the judiciary.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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