Prosecutions Mostly Stand

The most likely path is that DOJ's cases survive initial motions because prosecutors charge false statements, registration fraud, or ballot-related conduct rather than relying only on the statute recently voided by a federal judge. Several defendants accept plea deals, allowing DOJ to claim the sweep proves its California voter-roll allegations had a factual basis.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.