Possible scenario
Courts Narrow Cases
25% Chance
Defense lawyers are likely to challenge the charges by citing the recent ruling voiding the federal noncitizen voting criminal law and by arguing that DOJ is repackaging an invalid theory. Courts may allow some false-statement counts while dismissing or narrowing charges that depend on the invalidated statute.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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