Army Accountability Probe

The most likely path is an institutional investigation focused on whether U.S. Army and CENTCOM commanders ignored known drone-defense gaps after earlier incidents in Jordan and at other regional bases. The outcome centers on accountability, training, and base-defense procedures rather than a major shift in U.S.-Iran policy.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.