Possible scenario
Rapid GitHub Containment
45% Chance
GitHub and affected repository owners quickly identify hijacked accounts, revoke tokens, and remove malicious pull requests or issues. The campaign remains disruptive but does not translate into a confirmed large-scale software supply-chain compromise.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services -0.1%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- OKTA+0.4%
- NET+0.3%
- GTLB+0.1%
- TEAM-0.1%
- +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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