Possible scenario
Supply-Chain Compromise
25% Chance
Investigators confirm that some hijacked GitHub accounts were used to push malicious code into developer workflows or open-source package ecosystems. This creates a more serious software supply-chain event, though still below a systemic market shock.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.0%
- Business Services -0.5%
Tickers
- MSFT-1.2%
- PANW+0.7%
- CRWD+0.6%
- OKTA+0.5%
- +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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