Possible scenario
Recap And Release
25% Chance
Treasury and FHFA move beyond a token stock sale and attempt a broader recapitalization-and-release framework. This would require revising the senior preferred stock purchase agreements, setting capital requirements, and defining the future guarantee model.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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