Possible scenario
Prosecution Advances
45% Chance
The most likely path is that U.S. prosecutors keep the case focused on alleged material assistance to the 18-year-old Canadian school shooting suspect. The Department of Justice, RCMP, and Canadian Crown authorities coordinate evidence-sharing while the case proceeds through bail, discovery, and pretrial motions.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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