Possible scenario
Investigation Broadens
25% Chance
Investigators may treat the U.S. charge as one part of a wider inquiry into how the Canadian shooter communicated, planned, and potentially obtained resources. This would raise the chance of additional warrants or charges, but still remains a criminal-justice event with limited market relevance.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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