Possible scenario
ICE Authority Upheld
40% Chance
The Supreme Court most likely allows the administration to keep broad detention authority, especially if the majority frames the case around statutory discretion and deference to immigration enforcement. This would validate much of ICE's detention surge and reduce legal uncertainty around the $38 billion expansion plan.
Tickers
- GEO+5.0%
- CXW+4.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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