Possible scenario
Detainees Win
20% Chance
A less likely but significant outcome is that the Court finds ICE's categorical bond restrictions unlawful or unconstitutional. That would force DHS to modify detention practices and could reduce expected utilization of new detention capacity.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services -0.1%
Tickers
- GEO-6.8%
- CXW-6.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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