Possible scenario
Price Hike Sticks
45% Chance
The most likely outcome is that TSMC successfully implements the 3% to 6% wafer price increase because AI, HPC and advanced-node demand remain supply constrained. Order visibility to 2030 gives TSMC unusually strong negotiating power, especially at 3nm, 5nm and advanced packaging-linked capacity.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.9%
- Industrials +0.1%
Tickers
- AVGO+0.4%
- AMD-0.4%
- AAPL-0.3%
- NVDA+0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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