Possible scenario
DOJ Narrows Case
25% Chance
The Justice Department acknowledges data-quality issues while arguing that a smaller subset still warrants investigation. This preserves the legal fight but reduces the immediate risk of mass voter challenges before the November election.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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