Possible scenario
FOIA Delay Holds
45% Chance
The most likely path is a slow Freedom of Information Act process in which the FBI and DOJ cite law-enforcement exemptions, privacy protections, and classified-source reviews. Records are released in small batches, but the core investigative files on Thomas Matthew Crooks remain heavily redacted for years.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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