Possible scenario
Judicial Backlash Intensifies
22% Chance
Far-right parties accept the formal ruling but campaign against the Supreme Court and revive judicial-overhaul demands. This increases political temperature before Oct. 27 and could re-create the institutional tensions seen during Netanyahu’s earlier overhaul push.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
Tickers
- -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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