Possible scenario
False Start Fades
20% Chance
The increase to 599 may prove temporary if crude prices soften or producers protect free cash flow. A reversal would reinforce the view that US shale supply growth remains constrained despite occasional weekly gains.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.5%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- PTEN-1.0%
- -0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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