Trump Confronts Senate

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The White House and Senate Democrats move quickly into confrontation over nominations, spending bills, investigations, and oversight. This is less likely than a routine transition to divided government but plausible given exit-poll dissatisfaction with Trump and a strengthened Democratic caucus.

What it moves

Finance−0.2%
Consumer Cyclicals−0.1%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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