Netanyahu Blocks Transition

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Netanyahu fails to show a majority but uses parliamentary procedure, legal arguments and pressure on wavering MKs to slow Eisenkot’s path. The most likely result in this branch is prolonged instability rather than an immediate Netanyahu majority.

What it moves

Finance−0.3%
Industrials+0.1%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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