House Impeaches, Senate Acquits
−0.3%
The House adopts articles of impeachment with Democrats and a small bloc of Republicans, but the Senate does not come close to the two-thirds threshold needed to remove Pete Hegseth. This is the most likely path if Thomas Massie’s prediction proves right, because House math is much easier than Senate conviction math.
What it moves
- Industrials−0.4%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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