Possible scenario
GOP Stabilizes Kansas
34% Chance
Trump's Kansas stop helps nationalize the Senate race around Republican turnout rather than the GOP governor's endorsement of Democrat Adam Hamilton. Roger Marshall regains some rural and small-town support, and Republican strategists keep Kansas from becoming a major resource drain.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- Market volatility Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.4%
- Healthcare -0.2%
- Finance +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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