Possible scenario
Damage Toll Rises
25% Chance
Search teams find additional casualties or confirm wider damage in low-lying communities hit by record rainfall. Infrastructure repairs take longer than initially expected, creating a more visible but still regional economic drag.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.6%
- Utilities -0.5%
- Industrials -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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