Possible scenario
Regional Wildfire Escalation
15% Chance
Dry fuels and wind-driven spotting turn the Danny Fire into a broader Southern California incident. The I-5 corridor faces repeated closures, evacuation zones expand, and smoke affects transportation and outdoor activity across the northern Los Angeles Basin.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -1.1%
- Utilities -0.9%
- Industrials -0.7%
- Finance -0.5%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.2%
Tickers
- -1.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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