Possible scenario
Extended Corridor Disruption
30% Chance
The fire burns along steep terrain near the I-5 corridor, making reopening dependent on fireline progress, rockfall checks, and damaged guardrail repairs. Freight is diverted to Highway 14, Highway 101, and local alternates, increasing travel times across Southern California.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.3%
- Utilities -0.3%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.3%
- Consumer Services -0.2%
- Finance -0.2%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals -0.1%
Tickers
- -0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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